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posted on 29.01.2020by Yingqi Li, Xiaochuan Sun, Zhigang Li, Juan Wang, Miao Liu, Guan Gui
Video services have hold a surprising proportion of the whole network traffic in wireless communication networks. Accurate prediction of video traffic can endow networks with intelligence in resource management, especially for the forthcoming beyond the fifth-generation (B5G) networks. However, the existing approaches fail to accurately predict video traffic with all types of frames, due to the natures of strong long-range dependence, self-similarity and burstiness. Obviously, it is unable to meet the QoS and QoE requirements of dynamic bandwidth allocation. In this paper, we propose the feasibility of advanced machine learning methodology applied in nonstationary video traffic prediction, i.e., smoothing-aided support vector machine (SSVM) model. The model utilizes classical smoothing methods to preprocess video traffic by relieving the drastic fluctuation of video stream. It can provide an effective association for the subsequent support vector regression, as the preprocessed data becomes more smooth and continuous than the original unprocessed one. Experimental results show that our proposed model significantly outperforms the state of the art model, i.e., logistic smooth transition autoregressive, in prediction performance. The superior nonlinear approximation capacity is further demonstrated by visualized statistical analysis.