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Demonstrating probabilistic operational planning on the full Norwegian power system model
  • Sigurd Hofsmo Jakobsen,
  • Matias Vistnes,
  • Oddbjørn Gjerde
Sigurd Hofsmo Jakobsen
SINTEF Energy Research Trondheim

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Matias Vistnes
Department of Electric Energy Norwegian University of Science and Technology Trondheim
Oddbjørn Gjerde
SINTEF Energy Research Trondheim


In this paper, we demonstrate probabilistic operational planning on the power system model used by the Norwegian TSO. It is a detailed model with thousands of lines and buses. By using load and price data from publicly available sources, we demonstrate that probabilistic operational planning can be performed sufficiently fast on a realistic model. Moreover, we compare the probabilistic and the classical deterministic approach where the probabilistic approach gives lower operational costs by higher tie-line flows.
26 Apr 2024Submitted to TechRxiv
02 May 2024Published in TechRxiv