An Optimization of Machine Learning Approaches in the Forecasting of
Global Financial Stability
Abstract
In the current data-driven world, the significance of machine learning
as a mechanism for making predictions is vital. This research dives into
how supervised learning techniques can be used to predict whether a
banking crisis will occur in areas of Africa, which can be generalized
to determining the status of financial stability in all areas around the
world. By applying different machine learning mechanisms, along with
tuning the hyperparameters, the optimal machine learning technique was
found to be a neural network with two hidden layers, both hidden layers
having the ReLU activation function. These results demonstrate that
through widespread implementation of this neural network, governmental
and financial organizations can develop significant trends and predict
when a state is in economic peril, allowing for sufficient financial,
social, or other aid to be administered before situations deteriorate.