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Early Apprehension of Milder but Risky Dengue Cases: Clinical Uncertainty Modeling through Deep Learning
  • Subhagata Chattopadhyay
Subhagata Chattopadhyay
Formerly with Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Dengue fever (DF) is a mosquito-borne communicable disease, mostly manifest during South-East Asian monsoon. Approximately 2-5% people die due to severe hemorrhagic Dengue fever and, if left untreated, the number rises up to 20%. Although it is self-limiting, some cases, referred here as Doubtful Cases’ (DfC), may abruptly turn ‘fatal’ often causing mortality in the affected population. Diagnostically apprehending such ‘fatal’ cases is a key medical challenge as clinically it is nearly impossible to predict those. This article outlines a predictive model of dengue infection through a Deep Learning (DL) approach leading to deliver a predictive tool that can accurately preempt clinical ‘morbidity’ patterns. This tool is developed and validated on a set of prototype synthetic Dengue data and ratified against independent opinions from (10) clinicians to predict and grade the infection severity of such DfC case to ca 99% accuracy. The DL approach can be generically extended to other epidemic forms with DfCs that further extends the remit of this study.